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Here’s why Ethereum (ETH) price struggles despite positive news

 

 

The lack of response in Ether’s price to positive news may stem from investors’ concerns over deteriorating macroeconomic conditions. Ether (ETH), currently priced at $3,537, has faced downward pressure since June 7 when it fell below the critical $3,800 support level. Despite several favorable developments, its price has hovered below $3,600 as of June

19, showing no weekly change.

Analysts point to several factors contributing to this bearish sentiment. Some attribute it to insufficient institutional demand for cryptocurrencies, while others highlight regulatory uncertainties within the Ethereum ecosystem as significant factors influencing market dynamics.

Noelle Acheson, author of the ‘Crypto is Macro Now’ newsletter, expressed surprise at Ether’s failure to gain positive momentum following Consensys’s legal victory over the regulator. She also questions whether other regulatory issues related to staking could be dampening investor interest.

On June 18, Consensys, a developer within the Ethereum ecosystem, announced that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had concluded its investigation into whether Ethereum might be considered a security and the company’s involvement in ETH sales. Consensys had taken legal action against the SEC in April after receiving a Wells notice, which warned that its MetaMask wallet might have violated securities laws.

Ether’s decline coincided with Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, facing resistance near $72,000 on June 7. This occurred amid investor concerns about the fiscal health of the United States, worsened by high interest rates and negative economic indicators such as rising wages and an increasing unemployment rate. In May, U.S. average hourly earnings rose by 0.4% compared to the previous month, while the unemployment rate climbed from 3.9% in April to 4.0%.

Dan McArdle, the co-founder of Case4Bitcoin, noted that as long as the macroeconomic environment remains stable, cryptocurrency appears reasonably priced, and its long-term bullish trend should continue. However, McArdle warns that a “macro shock” or a sharp correction in the S&P 500 would negatively impact cryptocurrencies in the short to medium term. Therefore, the current lack of interest in Ether could reflect investors’ heightened concerns about a potential recession.

In addition to the recent Consensys development, regulatory news for Ether has been overwhelmingly positive. SEC Chair Gary Gensler confirmed that the launch of U.S. spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) would occur within three months. However, Ethereum faces its own challenges, including persistently high network processing fees, which have exceeded $4 over the past week.

The SEC has concluded its investigation into whether Ethereum (ETH) could be classified as a security, marking a significant development for the cryptocurrency. In a June 19 announcement, Ethereum developer Consensys revealed that the SEC’s Enforcement Division notified them of closing the investigation into Ethereum 2.0. This decision means the SEC will not pursue charges alleging that ETH sales constitute securities transactions, a move hailed as a major victory for Ethereum developers, technology providers, and industry participants.

Consensys initiated the request to end the investigation on June 7, following the SEC’s approval of spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in May, which categorized ETH as a commodity. The SEC’s response letter, shared by Consensys senior counsel Laura Brookover, confirms the agency’s decision not to recommend enforcement action.

This regulatory clarity coincides with the approval of 19b-4 filings from major Wall Street firms like VanEck, BlackRock, and Fidelity, paving the way for spot Ether ETFs to be listed and traded. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas anticipates these ETFs will commence trading on July 2. Moreover, K33 Research forecasts substantial investor interest, predicting $4 billion in inflows into these investment products within the first five months. This optimistic forecast suggests a bullish outlook for ETH, with expectations potentially driving its price to $5,500 by August.

In addition to regulatory developments, investor behavior has shown a positive shift with ETH holders moving their tokens into private wallets rather than keeping them on crypto exchanges. This trend indicates a preference for long-term holding strategies over short-term trading or liquidation into other cryptocurrencies or fiat currencies.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction : Can BTC Reach $100,000 By April, 2024?

 

Major Insights:

  • Bitcoin’s price has been staying within a certain range lately, even though it took a big dip right before the weekend.
  • The buyers (often called “bulls”) are showing that they still have power, which might mean the price will go up again, but it’s hard to say how strong that increase will be.

Bitcoin Overview as of March 31, 2024

Bitcoin Price $70,328.29
24 Price Change +0.58%
7D Price Change +8.79%
Market Cap $1.38 trillion
Circulating Supply 19.67 million
Trading Volume (24-Hour) $17.59 billion
ATH $73,750.07
Fear-Greed Index 80 (Greed)
Sentiment Bullish
Low (24-Hour) $69,601.07
High (24-Hour) $70,483.40

BTC Price Prediction

Since it started in 2009, Bitcoin (BTC) has been a big deal, catching the attention of tech fans and investors alike. Its value has gone through some wild swings, going from less than $500 in 2013 to over $64,000 by 2021.

After dropping a lot from those highs, Bitcoin fell below $17,000 in 2022. But it’s been on the upswing again, hitting a new record high of over $73,750 on March 14. This has got many investors wondering if Bitcoin will keep going up and maybe even hit six figures.

When Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000?

Predicting when Bitcoin will hit $100,000 is tricky because nobody can say for sure what will happen with its value in the near or distant future. But we can take a look at how its price has changed in the past to get an idea.

Back in January 2014, Bitcoin was valued around $800. Fast forward to January 2024, and it was worth over $42,000. That’s an incredible increase of more than 5,150%, which translates to an average yearly return of more than 135% over the past ten years.

If Bitcoin keeps growing at the same rate as it has in recent years, it could hit $98,700 by January 2025 and reach $100,000 the following month, February.

Some experts think Bitcoin might actually increase in value even faster. Frank Holmes, who works at HIVE Digital Technologies, says it could double or even quadruple in price over the next year.

Matt Hougan from Bitwise also thinks Bitcoin could skyrocket in value this year. He believes we’re in a phase where Bitcoin’s price keeps going up for several years, and it might hit new record highs.

But remember, predicting Bitcoin’s price is tricky. It can change a lot in a short time, and even though it’s been growing, there have been times when its value dropped by half or more and took months or years to recover. So, while it’s exciting to think about Bitcoin reaching new highs, it’s essential to understand the risks involved due to its unpredictable nature.

Couple Of Reasons Why the Price of Bitcoin Might Go Up:

  1. Spot Bitcoin ETFs: Recently, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission gave the green light for spot Bitcoin ETFs. These ETFs let investors buy Bitcoin directly at its current price, rather than dealing with complicated futures contracts. This move makes it easier for people to invest in Bitcoin, potentially attracting new investors who were hesitant before because buying crypto seemed too complex.
  2. The Bitcoin Halving: Bitcoin operates on a system where the supply of new Bitcoin gets cut in half every so often, a process called halving. This reduction in new Bitcoin being produced is set to happen again on April 20th 2024. When this happens, it means there will be fewer new Bitcoins entering the market, which historically has led to higher demand for Bitcoin and increased trading activity.

In simpler terms, these developments could lead to more people wanting to buy Bitcoin, which could drive its price up.

Layer-2 Solutions:

One thing boosting Bitcoin’s price nowadays is something called Layer-2 solutions. These are improvements that make the Bitcoin network faster and more useful. Before, Bitcoin could only be used for basic stuff like sending and receiving coins. But now, it can do more complex things like smart contracts or running decentralized apps. These extra features make Bitcoin more valuable.

Could Bitcoin Crash Again?

Bitcoin has a history of wild ups and downs. It started off almost worthless, then shot up in value, crashed, and then went up again. But it’s also had some big drops, like when it went from $60,000 to below $30,000 in just a few months. The reasons for a crash could be anything from new rules from the government to a new cryptocurrency becoming more popular.

Bitcoin’s Environmental Impact:

People are worried about how much energy Bitcoin uses. It’s using about as much electricity as a whole country like Argentina and causing a lot of pollution. This could lead to more rules about Bitcoin or people choosing other cryptocurrencies instead.

Does Bitcoin Still Have Any Upside?

Some big players in finance and government are starting to take Bitcoin seriously. It’s also been around for over 15 years and keeps growing. But there are thousands of other cryptocurrencies now, and Bitcoin’s value can go up and down a lot.

Should You Invest in Bitcoin?

Bitcoin has made a lot of people rich, but it’s also really risky. Some experts think it’s worth it for the potential rewards, but others say it’s too risky for everyday people. It’s like betting on something that’s still new and uncertain.

FAQs:

  1. Next Bitcoin halving: Bitcoin halving happens every four years or after every 210,000 blocks. The next one is scheduled in April 20th, 2024.
  2. Bitcoin price change in the last 24 hours: In the past day, Bitcoin’s price went up by 0.45%, hitting a high of $70,483 and a low of $69,601.
  3. Current value of 1 Bitcoin: Right now, 1 Bitcoin is worth $70,300.
  4. Purpose of Bitcoin halving: Bitcoin halving reduces the amount of Bitcoin produced with each block, making it scarcer and potentially more valuable.
  5. Will Bitcoin’s price go up?: With the next Bitcoin halving approaching, many expect its price to increase.
  6. Projected Bitcoin price in 2024: Experts predict Bitcoin could range between $35,000 and $120,000 in 2024, averaging around $77,500.
  7. Projected Bitcoin price in 2025: By 2025, Bitcoin could reach highs of $110,449 and lows of $61,357, with an average price around $85,903.
  8. Total number of Bitcoins: Currently, there are about 19.67 million Bitcoins in circulation, out of a maximum limit of 21 million.
  9. Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2030: Some enthusiasts believe Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2030, while others expect it to surpass $500,000.
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